Table 5.

Adjusted probability (and 95% confidence interval) of graft failure at 10 years by donor-recipient age group for deceased-donor transplant recipients, 1998–2012

Donor Agea (yr)Recipient Age (yr)
<1818–2930–3940–4950–5960+
<1849.4 (45.9 to 52.7)44.3 (41.3 to 47.2)37.4 (35.0 to 39.6)35.0 (33.0 to 36.9)41.3 (39.2 to 43.3)54.8 (52.3 to 57.2)
18–2955.5 (51.9 to 58.9)47.8 (45.1 to 50.4)37.8 (35.9 to 39.7)36.7 (35.1 to 38.2)40.6 (39.0 to 42.1)52.4 (50.4 to 54.3)
30–3961.6 (55.9 to 66.6)51.3 (47.7 to 54.7)42.4 (39.9 to 44.8)40.0 (38.0 to 42.0)43.6 (41.6 to 45.5)55.3 (52.9 to 57.6)
40–4961.0 (54.7 to 66.4)52.9 (49.6 to 55.9)46.9 (44.7 to 48.9)45.0 (43.2 to 46.6)49.6 (48.0 to 51.2)62.5 (60.6 to 64.3)
50–5960.9 (50.3 to 69.3)58.3 (53.9 to 62.2)50.5 (47.9 to 52.9)50.5 (48.6 to 52.4)56.3 (54.6 to 57.9)66.7 (64.8 to 68.4)
60+Not shownb71.4 (61.6 to 78.7)60.9 (55.1 to 65.9)61.8 (58.0 to 65.3)61.3 (58.8 to 63.6)73.0 (71.0 to 74.8)
  • a Adjusted for transplant year, ESRD cause, panel reactive antibody at transplant, previous transplant, years of ESRD, hepatitis C serology, insurance, and recipient and donor race and ethnicity, donor history of cigarette use, and the following donor-recipient combinations: sex, obesity status, weight ratio, height ratio, HLA mismatch, and ABO compatibility. Each probability pertains to the average donor and recipient characteristic for each model.

  • b Because of small cell size, graft failure results are not shown for the pediatric age group (<18) with donors of age 60 years or older.