Table 4.

Adjusted probability (and 95% confidence interval) of graft failure at 5 years by donor-recipient age group for deceased-donor transplant recipients, 1998–2012

Donor agea (yr)Recipient Age (yr)
<1818–2930–3940–4950–5960+
<1832.7 (30.1 to 35.2)27.5 (25.3 to 29.6)21.5 (19.9 to 23.1)18.2 (17.0 to 19.5)20.7 (19.4 to 22.0)29.1 (27.3 to 30.7)
18–2933.2 (30.8 to 35.5)29.7 (27.7 to 31.6)21.0 (19.8 to 22.3)19.0 (18.0 to 20.0)20.6 (19.7 to 21.6)26.4 (25.1 to 27.5)
30–3934.9 (30.9 to 38.7)32.4 (29.8 to 35.0)23.2 (21.6 to 24.8)21.0 (19.8 to 22.3)22.1 (21.0 to 23.3)28.5 (27.0 to 30.0)
40–4937.8 (32.4 to 42.8)32.2 (29.8 to 34.5)26.9 (25.5 to 28.4)23.8 (22.7 to 24.9)26.7 (25.7 to 27.7)34.4 (33.2 to 35.6)
50–5940.4 (30.9 to 48.6)39.9 (36.4 to 43.2)29.5 (27.7 to 31.3)29.2 (27.8 to 30.5)31.0 (29.9 to 32.1)37.5 (36.3 to 38.6)
60+Not shownb48.1 (39.5 to 55.4)39.9 (35.2 to 44.3)36.5 (33.7 to 39.2)36.7 (35.0 to 38.4)44.0 (42.6 to 45.3)
  • a Adjusted for transplant year, ESRD cause, panel reactive antibody at transplant, previous transplant, years of ESRD, hepatitis C serology, insurance, and recipient and donor race and ethnicity, donor history of cigarette use, and the following donor-recipient combinations: sex, obesity status, weight ratio, height ratio, HLA mismatch, and ABO compatibility. Each probability pertains to the average donor and recipient characteristic for each model.

  • b Because of small cell size, graft failure results are not shown for the pediatric age group (<18) with donors of age 60 years or older.