Table 4.

Lifetime risk for incident CKD stages 3A, 3B, or 4 by starting age, stratified by sex

Baseline Age (yr)Years from Baseline Age
510203040
Stage 3A
 Women
  452.8 (1.9 to 3.8)6.3 (5.1 to 7.6)15.7 (14.0 to 17.5)33.8 (30.3 to 37.4)38.5 (25.8 to 51.1)
  554.4 (3.4 to 5.3)10.3 (8.9 to 11.7)30.4 (28.0 to 32.7)36.7 (33.5 to 39.9)
  6510.4 (8.8 to 11.9)24.1 (21.7 to 26.5)33.8 (30.3 to 37.3)
  7513.9 (10.7 to 17.2)23.2 (18.8 to 27.6)
  8016.7 (11.5 to 21.9)21.7 (13.6 to 29.8)
 Men
  450.5 (0.1 to 0.9)2.4 (1.6 to 3.2)8.0 (6.5 to 9.5)16.6 (13.1 to 20.0)28.7 (20.1 to 37.2)
  552.2 (1.5 to 3.0)6.0 (4.8 to 7.2)15.2 (13.3 to 17.1)28.3 (25.3 to 31.3)
  654.5 (3.3 to 5.8)11.3 (9.4 to 13.3)27.6 (24.2 to 31.0)
  7512.1 (9.2 to 14.9)24.1 (19.9 to 28.3)
  8018.2 (13.5 to 23.0)16.9 (10.8 to 23.0)
Stage 3B
 Women
  450 (0 to 0)0.1 (0 to 0.2)0.7 (0.2 to 1.2)4.4 (1.9 to 6.9)19.4 (8.9 to 29.9)
  550.2 (0 to 0.4)0.7 (0.3 to 1.1)4.4 (3.3 to 5.5)19.7 (16.8 to 22.7)
  650.8 (0.4 to 1.2)3.9 (2.8 to 4.9)20.0 (16.9 to 23.0)
  757.0 (5.2 to 8.8)18.1 (14.8 to 21.4)
  8013.1 (9.6 to 16.6)21.5 (15.3 to 27.8)
 Men
  450 (0 to 0)0.1 (0 to 0.3)0.4 (0 to 0.8)3.1 (0.9 to 5.3)7.9 (2.3 to 13.6)
  550.2 (0 to 0.4)0.3 (0 to 0.6)3.1 (2.1 to 4)8.1 (6.0 to 10.2)
  650.8 (0.3 to 1.3)3.1 (2.1 to 4.1)8.7 (6.5 to 10.9)
  753.3 (1.8 to 4.8)6.8 (4.4 to 9.2)
  804.3 (1.8 to 6.8)11.4 (6.5 to 16.2)
Stage 4
 Women
  450.1 (0 to 0.2)0.1 (0 to 0.2)0.3 (0 to 0.6)0.8 (0.3 to 1.2)3.6 (2.2 to 5.0)
  550.1 (0 to 0.2)0.2 (0 to 0.4)0.7 (0.3 to 1.1)3.5 (2.1 to 5)
  650.1 (0 to 0.3)0.5 (0.1 to 0.9)3.5 (2.0 to 4.9)
  751.4 (0.6 to 2.2)3.2 (1.7 to 4.7)
  801.9 (0.6 to 3.3)7.0 (2.2 to 11.8)
 Men
  450 (0 to 0)0 (0 to 0)0.2 (0 to 0.4)0.7 (0.3 to 1.2)3.4 (1.9 to 4.8)
  550.2 (0 to 0.4)0.2 (0 to 0.4)0.7 (0.3 to 1.2)3.5 (2.0 to 5.0)
  650.2 (0 to 0.4)0.6 (0.2 to 1.1)3.7 (2.0 to 5.4)
  750.7 (0.1 to 1.4)3.5 (1.7 to 5.4)
  803.2 (1.2 to 5.2)7.0 (3.4 to 10.6)
  • Cumulative risk is shown as the percentage (95% confidence interval). Lifetime risk estimates are adjusted for competing risk of death. Cumulative risk was not determined for missing cells because of the small number of events.