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Dialysis |


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* Medical Service and
Research Service, Veterans Affairs Salt Lake City Healthcare System and
Department of Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah;
Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia; || Department of Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham, Alabama; ¶ Department of Medicine, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri; ** Division of Nephrology, New England Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts; 
Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Medical Center, New York, New York; 
Department of Internal Medicine, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina; 
Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennesee; and |||| Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas
Correspondence: Dr. Alfred K. Cheung, Dialysis Program, 85 North Medical Drive East, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112. Phone: 801-581-6427; Fax: 801-581-4750; E-mail: alfred.cheung{at}hsc.utah.edu
| Abstract |
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Cox regression analyses were performed to relate cardiac or infectious deaths to cumulative mean follow-up predialysis serum β2-microglobulin levels while controlling for baseline demographics, comorbidity, residual kidney function, and dialysis-related variables.
Results: The cohort of 1813 patients experienced 180 infectious deaths and 315 cardiac deaths. The adjusted hazard ratio for infectious death was 1.21 (95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.37) per 10-mg/L increase in β2-microglobulin. This association was independent of the prestudy years on dialysis. In contrast, the association between serum β2-microglobulin level and cardiac death was not statistically significant. In similar regression models, higher cumulative mean Kt/V of β2-microglobulin was not significantly associated with either infectious or cardiac mortality in the full cohort but exhibited trends suggesting an association with lower infectious mortality (relative risk 0.93; 95% confidence interval 0.86 to 1.01, for each 0.1-U increase in β2-microglobulin Kt/V) and lower cardiac mortality (relative risk 0.93; 95% confidence interval 0.87 to 1.00) in the subgroup with >3.7 prestudy years of dialysis.
Conclusions: These results generally support the notion that middle molecules are associated with systemic toxicity and that their accumulation predisposes dialysis patients to infectious deaths, independent of the duration of maintenance dialysis.
| Introduction |
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Although these are results of secondary analyses and must be interpreted cautiously because of the multiple hypotheses that were tested (4), they are consistent with the notion that high-flux dialysis may have certain beneficial effects. In the HEMO Study, membrane flux was defined by the clearance of β2M, taken as a surrogate for the clearance of middle molecules. As a result of the higher clearance, the cumulative mean predialysis serum β2M level during follow-up in the high-flux arm was statistically significantly lower than that in the low-flux arms (33.6 versus 41.5 mg/L) (5). Further secondary analysis of the data showed that predialysis serum β2M levels predicted all-cause mortality in the HEMO Study cohort, with an 11% increase in mortality for each 10-mg/L increase in β2M level, even after adjustment for years on dialysis and residual kidney function (5). The specific causes of death that account for this increased mortality have not been determined.
In addition to a number of other middle molecules, in vitro studies have identified proteins from the circulating plasma of maintenance dialysis patients, with homology or MW similar to β2M, that have neutrophil-inhibitory effects (6,7). The accumulation of these proteins leads to higher serum β2M concentrations and may predispose the patients to infectious complications. Furthermore, because randomization to high flux was associated with a decrease in cardiac deaths in the HEMO Study and an even greater reduction in patients who were on dialysis for >3.7 yr before the study (1,2), it would be reasonable to hypothesize that serum β2M levels are also predictive of cardiac death, especially in the long-term dialysis subgroup. In this report, we examined the association of serum β2M levels and dialyzer β2M kinetics with cause-specific mortality in the HEMO cohort, focusing on cardiac and infectious deaths.
| Concise Methods |
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Among the eligibility criteria for entry into the study were (1) a minimum of 3 mo on hemodialysis and (2) a residual kidney urea clearance <1.5 ml/min per 35 L urea distribution volume. This latter criterion was included to minimize the contribution of clearance by native kidneys and hence maximize the relative effects of dialysis on total body solute clearance. Details of the study protocol have been described in previous reports (8,9). For this report, 1813 of the 1846 patients were included in the analyses of follow-up serum β2M levels; the remaining 33 patients were excluded because they did not have serum β2M measurements after randomization.
Dialyzers and Dialysates
The dialyzers used, frequency of serum sample collection for β2M, and calculation of clearances and Kt/V of β2M in the HEMO Study were previously reported (2,5,10). The criteria for high-flux dialyzers were an ultrafiltration coefficient
14 ml/h per mmHg and a β2M clearance >20 ml/min averaged over the lifespan of the dialyzer during clinical dialysis. The F80 (Fresenius Medical Care-North America, Lexington, MA) and CT190 (Baxter Healthcare Corp., McGaw Park, IL) dialyzers were used in 43 and 48% of the high-flux sessions, respectively. Low-flux dialyzers had a mean clearance of β2M <10 ml/min. The F8 (Fresenius) and CA210 (Baxter) dialyzers were used in 46 and 43% of the low-flux sessions, respectively.
All dialysate solutions were bicarbonate based. Standards for the quality of the dialysate water and the dialysates were those proposed by the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation. Ultrapure dialysate was not used.
Sample Collection for β2M Levels and Dialyzer β2M Kinetics
The β2M kinetics during hemodialysis were determined at the first and second months and then every other month during the follow-up period for patients in the high-flux arm. For the low-flux arm, β2M kinetics were determined at the first and fourth months and annually thereafter. Blood samples for β2M were collected immediately before dialysis and 20 s after dialysis from the dialyzer afferent blood tubing after the dialyzer blood flow rate had been reduced to <80 ml/min. Blood samples were centrifuged, and the serum samples were sent to a central laboratory (Spectra East, Rockleigh, NJ) for assay.
The concentrations of β2M were determined using a solid-phase competitive RIA with reagents supplied by Abbott Laboratories (Abbott Park, IL), and radioactivity was determined by a Micromedic Apex Automatic Counter (model 10600; ICN Biomedicals, Costa Mesa, CA). The intra-assay and interassay coefficients of variation were 3.6 and 5.0%, respectively.
Dialyzer clearance of β2M was calculated on the basis of the change in serum β2M concentration during the dialysis session as described previously (2,5,10,11). The Kt/V for β2M was calculated by multiplying the dialyzer β2M clearance by the treatment time and dividing the product by the postdialysis extracellular fluid volume, which was calculated as one third of the urea distribution volume estimated by urea kinetics. The β2M clearances associated with the majority of these dialyzers and specific reprocessing techniques have been described in detail in a previous publication from the HEMO Study (10). A variety of reprocessing techniques were used in the participating clinical centers, resulting in highly variable β2M clearances in the high-flux arm.
Follow-up and Outcomes
The planned mean duration of follow-up for mortality in this cohort of 1813 patients was 4.5 yr (range 0.9 to 6.6 yr); however, the actual mean follow-up was only 2.6 yr because of deaths, kidney transplantation, and transfers to dialysis units that did not participate in the HEMO Study. The protocols used for the collection and validation of outcome data have been previously described in detail (12–14). The primary outcome of the HEMO Study was all-cause mortality. The primary cause of death for each case was adjudicated by a central outcome committee. For this report, only deaths primarily as a result of cardiac and infectious causes were analyzed. As discussed, the rationale for selecting cardiac deaths was the apparent effect of high-flux dialysis on this outcome in the HEMO Study (1,2,12). Infectious deaths were selected because of the substantial literature implicating middle molecules in the pathogenesis of immunodeficiency in the dialysis patients (6,7,15–19). Furthermore, cardiac diseases and infections are the two most common causes of death in hemodialysis patients.
Statistical Analyses
To avoid confounding from various reuse limits of different dialyzer/reprocessing method combinations, dialyzer β2M clearance and β2M Kt/V for different dialyzer/reprocessing method combinations were based on averages of predicted values at each follow-up kinetic modeling session (5). The predicted dialyzer β2M clearance and β2M Kt/V were obtained by multiple regression analysis of the observed values on the type of dialyzer, reuse number, and type of reprocessing method, based on sessions in which the serum β2M levels were measured.
The association between the risk for infectious or cardiac mortality and serum β2M levels was investigated using a time-dependent Cox regression model (20), in which the HR for infectious or cardiac mortality at a given time point were related to the cumulative mean of the predialysis serum β2M levels throughout the follow-up period before that time point. In this report, follow-up time was censored at deaths from causes other than the specific cause being analyzed, transplantation, and 4 mo after the patient had been transferred to a dialysis unit that did not participate in the HEMO Study. Similar time-dependent Cox models were performed to relate cause-specific mortality with the cumulative mean of predicted dialyzer β2M Kt/V over time during follow-up. For these Cox regression models, all randomly assigned patients who had undergone any kinetic modeling sessions during follow-up (n = 1826) were included. The following basic set of 11 baseline factors were included as covariates in these analyses: The seven baseline factors prespecified in the HEMO Study protocol (age, gender, race, diabetes, years on dialysis, comorbidity index (index of coexistent disease [ICED]) [21], and serum albumin level), baseline kinetically modeled urea distribution volume, residual kidney urea clearance, dialyzer flux assignment, and ultrafiltration volume normalized by body weight. The cohort was further divided into two subgroups on the basis of the mean prestudy years on dialysis (3.7 yr), and similar Cox regression analyses were performed relating serum β2M levels or dialyzer β2M kinetics to cause-specific mortality, using the same covariates as in the corresponding analysis of the entire cohort.
Three sets of sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the results by altering different aspects of the statistical models. First, all analyses were repeated after separating the cohort into subgroups that were assigned to the individual flux interventions to determine whether the results differed between patients who were assigned to the low-flux and high-flux arms. Second, the time-dependent Cox regressions relating infectious mortality or cardiac mortality to the cumulative mean serum β2M levels or to the cumulative mean predicted dialyzer β2M Kt/V were repeated after controlling for the same 11 covariates listed for the main analyses but with the most recently recorded follow-up serum albumin level, ICED, and residual kidney urea clearance used instead of the baseline measures of these three variables. Third, the Cox regression analyses relating infectious mortality or cardiac mortality to serum β2M were repeated using the cumulative mean predialysis serum β2M levels during only the first 4 mo of follow-up as the exposure variable instead of the cumulative mean throughout the entire follow-up period. This sensitivity analysis was restricted to patients who survived and remained in the trial for at least 4 mo and was performed also adjusting for the 11 baseline covariates listed for the main analyses. This model has the advantage that the exposure is evaluated during a constant time period at the start of the follow-up, albeit of a limited duration.
| Results |
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Predictive Values of Serum β2M Levels for Cardiac Mortality
There was no statistically significant association between cumulative mean predialysis serum β2M level and cardiac mortality in the entire cohort (Tables 3 and 5, Figure 1) or the two dialysis duration subgroups (Table 5).
Predictive Values of Serum β2M Levels for Infectious Mortality
In the entire cohort, each 10-mg/L increase in serum β2M level was associated with a 21% increase in the rate of infectious mortality (HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.37; P = 0.002; Tables 4 and 5, Figure 2). Associations of similar magnitude, albeit with lower statistical significance, were also observed in the two dialysis duration subgroups (Table 5).
Predictive Values of Dialyzer β2M Kt/V for Cardiac Mortality
Similar Cox regression models were used to relate dialyzer β2M Kt/V with cause-specific mortality. These models also included the predictor variables presented in Tables 3 and 4, except for serum β2M levels. Results of these analyses of dialyzer β2M Kt/V (Table 6) were different from those that were obtained from analysis of serum β2M levels. The Kt/V of β2M correlated significantly with cardiac mortality in the subgroup of patients who had been on dialysis for >3.7 yr before the study. In this subgroup, each 0.1-U increase in β2M Kt/V was associated with a 7% decrease in the rate of cardiac mortality (HR 0.93; 95% CI 0.87 to 1.00; P = 0.036). There were no statistically significant associations between β2M Kt/V and cardiac mortality in the entire cohort or those who had been on dialysis for
3.7 yr before the study.
Predictive Values of Dialyzer β2M Kt/V for Infectious Mortality
Results of the analyses of dialyzer β2M Kt/V with infectious mortality (Table 6) also exhibited a different pattern from the results of the analysis of serum β2M levels. The Kt/V of β2M was not significantly associated with infectious mortality in either the full cohort or the two dialysis duration subgroups. It should be noted, however, that the HR of 0.93 for infectious mortality in the long-term dialysis subgroup was similar to the HR relating cardiac mortality to dialyzer β2M Kt/V but did not reach statistical significance because the number of infectious deaths was smaller than the number of cardiac deaths, leading to a lower statistical power for the infectious death outcome.
Sensitivity Analyses
Three sets of sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the results. In the first set of sensitivity analyses, in which the cohort was examined separately by flux assignments, there were no significant differences between the low-flux arm and high-flux arms in the adjusted HR relating cardiac or infectious mortality to either the cumulative mean serum β2M level or the cumulative mean β2M Kt/V. The HR relating infectious and cardiac mortality to cumulative mean serum β2M were 1.36 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.76) and 1.12 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.38) per 10-g/dl increase, respectively, in the high-flux arm and were 1.17 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.39) and 1.06 (95% CI 0.93 to 1.21) per 10-g/dl increase, respectively, in the low-flux arm.
In the second set of sensitivity analyses, the most recently recorded follow-up serum albumin level, ICED, and residual kidney urea clearance were used for adjustment in the Cox regression models, instead of the baseline values of these variables. In these analyses, the adjusted HR of relating infectious mortality to cumulative mean serum β2M in the full cohort was 1.14 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.29; P = 0.039), which remained statistically significant. The HR relating cardiac death to cumulative mean serum β2M and the HR relating both infections and cardiac death to cumulative mean β2M Kt/V were similar when adjusting for the follow-up or baseline values of these variables (data not shown).
In a third set of sensitivity analyses, the mean serum β2M level and β2M Kt/V during the first 4 mo of follow-up, instead of the entire follow-up period, were used as the exposure variables. In these analyses, the adjusted HR relating cardiac and infectious mortality to serum β2M were 1.05 (95% CI 0.95 to 1.15) and 1.14 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.28) per 10-mg/L increase, respectively, and the adjusted HR relating cardiac and infectious mortality to β2M Kt/V were 0.97 (95% CI 0.94 to 1.00) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.02) per 0.10-Kt/V-unit increase, respectively.
| Discussion |
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Of particular relevance to this analysis are the group of middle molecules that have granulocyte-inhibitory properties in vitro and include granulocyte-inhibitory protein II (MW approximately 9500 Da with homology to β2M) (6), chemotaxis inhibitory protein (MW approximately 8500 Da with homology to ubiquitin) (19), degranulation inhibitory protein (MW approximately 14,000 Da with homology to angiogenin) (24), and granulocyte inhibitory protein I (MW approximately 28,000 Da with homology to the light chain of IgG) (16). By inhibiting granulocyte function, these serum proteins could predispose patients with kidney failure to infectious complications. In support of the pathogenic importance of these proteins, these analyses show that the serum level of β2M, a protein with a similar MW of 11,800 Da, was associated with deaths from infectious causes (Tables 4 and 5).
In these analyses, the mean of the predialysis serum β2M levels throughout follow-up was related to the relative risks for mortality of specific causes. This averaged β2M value presumably reflected the cumulative effects of other middle molecules for which β2M serves as a surrogate. It should be emphasized that this predictive value of β2M for infectious mortality was independent of residual kidney function (Table 4), further supporting the importance of this middle molecule. The effect size was substantial; for a 10-mg/L increase in the serum β2M level, there was a 21% increase in the relative risk for infectious death, compared with the 11% increase in the relative risk for all-cause mortality previously reported by in the HEMO Study (5). Moreover, this predictive value of infectious mortality and effect size were independent of the duration of previous dialysis and was consistent in the entire cohort, in the subgroup with
3.7 yr of previous dialysis, and in the long-term dialysis subgroup (Table 5).
In contrast to infectious deaths, serum β2M levels were not associated with increased risk for cardiac death in the entire cohort or in the two subgroups defined by prestudy dialysis durations (Tables 3 and 5). In addition, the relationships between dialytic β2M removal and clinical outcomes were different. Previous secondary analysis of the HEMO Study data showed that the reduction in the relative risk for infectious death associated with randomization to high-flux dialysis was not statistically significant in the entire cohort (15%) and in the long-term (>3.7 yr) dialysis subgroup (22%) (13). In contrast, randomization to the high-flux arm was associated with a lower risk for cardiac death in the entire cohort (1,2). Furthermore, in the subgroup that had undergone dialysis for >3.7 yr, there was a statistically significant decrease in all-cause mortality by 32%, cardiac mortality by 37%, and cerebrovascular events by 71% (3) in the high-flux arm. If high-flux dialysis is in fact associated with better clinical outcomes, then it is likely to be mediated by the reduction of middle molecules in the uremic serum, because this is a major difference between high flux and low flux that is in favor of the former (5). Indeed, high-flux dialysis removes middle molecules (25,26) that potentially contribute to cardiovascular diseases, for example, advanced glycation end products that are putatively atherogenic (27). Differences in biocompatibility may, in some instances, potentially account for the differences in clinical outcomes among various dialysis membranes. The membrane materials used in the HEMO Study, however, were largely similar in biocompatibility between the high-flux and low-flux arms (2,10). In addition, back-filtration with the accompanying transfer of dialysate contaminants into the blood stream is more likely in high flux; however, such a phenomenon would be expected to worsen instead of improve the outcomes
Because β2M was used as the marker to define membrane flux in the HEMO Study, it seems appropriate to examine the effect of β2M removal on clinical outcomes. We selected β2M Kt/V instead of dialyzer β2M clearance in these analyses, because the latter does not account for the dialysis time and therefore the total β2M removed during the session. Our recent analysis showed that β2M Kt/V was inversely associated with all-cause mortality only in the subgroup of patients who had been on dialysis for >3.7 yr but not in the entire cohort or the short-term dialysis subgroup (5). Consistent with this observation, this analysis shows that β2M Kt/V was also inversely associated with cardiac death and infectious death in the long-term dialysis subgroup, although the association was not statistically significant for the infectious death outcome (Table 6). It should be noted that these are observational analyses of β2M removal and not the conventional intention-to-treat analysis for randomized trials. Nonetheless, there seemed to be discrepancies between the effects of β2M removal on clinical outcomes and the effects of serum β2M levels on clinical outcomes, raising the possibility that generation, in addition to the removal, of β2M or other similar middle molecules also contributes to the clinical outcomes.
There are limitations to this analysis. First, whereas most of the data in the HEMO Study were collected prospectively as part of the randomized trial, the secondary analysis correlating serum β2M levels or dialyzer β2M Kt/V with clinical outcomes in this report was a post hoc plan. Second, our database is derived from a clinical trial that had exclusion criteria for enrollment; therefore, generalization of these results to the US hemodialysis population should take this caveat into account. The third limitation relates to the lack of definitive evidence to ascertain cardiac causes of death in cases of unwitnessed sudden death.
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| Disclosures |
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| Acknowledgments |
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We are indebted to the patients and study coordinators in all clinical centers who participated in the HEMO Study.
| Footnotes |
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Dr. John K. Leypoldt is currently an employee of Baxter Healthcare Corporation (McGraw Park, Illinois).
Received June 4, 2007. Accepted September 19, 2007.
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