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Acute Renal Failure |




* Division of Cardiology,
Department of Radiology,
Division of Nephrology,
Division of Biostatistics, and || Division of General Internal Medicine, Hospital Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
Correspondence: Dr Aaron M. From, Division of Cardiology; Gonda 6-366; 200 1st Street SW; Rochester, MN 55905. Phone: 507-261-0981; Fax: 507-284-1203; E-mail: from.aaron{at}mayo.edu
| Abstract |
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Design, setting, participants, & measurements: We performed a retrospective cohort study at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota, to assess the risk of contrast nephropathy associated with the use of sodium bicarbonate, N-acetylcysteine, and the combination of sodium bicarbonate with N-acetylcysteine from April 2004 to May 2005. Contrast nephropathy was defined as postexposure creatinine elevation of
25% or >0.5 mg/dl within 7 d of contrast exposure.
Results: A total of 11,516 contrast exposures in 7977 patients had creatinine values available for review before and after contrast exposure. More than 90% of exposures to agents prophylactic for contrast nephropathy were available for analysis. Sodium bicarbonate was used in 268 cases, N-acetylcysteine was used in 616 cases, and both agents were used in combination in 221 cases of contrast exposure. After adjustment for total volume of hydration, medications, age, gender, prior creatinine, contrast iodine load, prior exposure to contrast material, type of imaging study, heart failure, hypertension, renal failure, multiple myeloma, and diabetes mellitus, use of sodium bicarbonate alone was associated with an increased risk of contrast nephropathy compared with no treatment (odds ratio 3.10, 95% confidence interval 2.28 to 4.18; P < 0.001). N-acetylcysteine alone and in combination with sodium bicarbonate was not associated with any significant difference in the incidence of contrast nephropathy.
Conclusions: The use of intravenous sodium bicarbonate was associated with increased incidence of contrast nephropathy. Use of sodium bicarbonate to prevent contrast nephropathy should be evaluated further rather than adopted into clinical practice.
| Introduction |
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Multiple strategies have been proposed to prevent CN (7). Randomized trials have suggested that N-acetylcysteine (NAC) (6,8–12) and sodium bicarbonate (13) may prevent CN, although there is controversy regarding routine usage (14–16). In addition to hydration, some randomized trials have shown that NAC prevents CN, whereas others have failed to demonstrate a benefit in CN prevention. In recent years, sodium bicarbonate has been proposed to prevent CN although the mechanism remains unclear (13). Some investigators have hypothesized that the combination of NAC and sodium bicarbonate may be superior to the use of either alone (11,13) because, as Merten and others have noted, NAC alone does not always prevent CN (13,17–19).
We hypothesized that in our actual practice cohort that sodium bicarbonate would be associated with a decreased risk of CN and that the combination of sodium bicarbonate and NAC would be associated with an incremental reduction of CN compared with the use of either agent alone.
| Concise Methods |
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17 yr old with at least one creatinine value available within 7 d pre- and postexposure. The most recent creatinine value before contrast exposure was used in the analyses unless otherwise stated. The highest creatinine value after the contrast exposure was used as the postexposure creatinine in the analyses. As described previously (13), patients with precontrast creatinine >8 mg/dl or history of dialysis were excluded. Cases where sodium bicarbonate was administered for continuous renal replacement therapy were excluded. More than 96% of patients received low osmolar nonionic contrast. Contrast volume was collected for each administration. Contrast iodine load (grams) was calculated using the equation: iodine concentration (g/ml) x volume of contrast (ml). Contrast iodine load was available in 99% of cases.
Comorbid diseases were identified using a coding system maintained for record identification at Mayo Clinic as previously reported (22). In brief, the codes, which are not based on hospital billing codes, were assigned by coders primarily according to physician diagnoses for outpatient visits and from discharge diagnoses for hospitalizations and closely approximate the International Classification of Disease (Ninth Revision) codes. A diagnosis of renal disease included any history of renovascular disease, nephropathy, or hypertensive renal disease. Fluid administration was determined by finding the total of all fluids administered 1 d before and on the day of contrast exposure.
Medication administration was recorded using a computerized record system. Administration of intravenous sodium bicarbonate and or oral NAC was recorded if administered within 48 h of contrast exposure.
Because the administration of sodium bicarbonate for prevention of CN according to the Merten et al. protocol (13) is complex and variations of the protocol occur in clinical settings, we analyzed all administration to determine if patients received sodium bicarbonate as described by Merten et al. (i.e., per the "Merten et al. protocol group": a solution of 150 mEq/L sodium bicarbonate administered on the day of exposure infused at an initial rate of 3 ± 0.5 ml/kg per h before contrast exposure and at 1 ± 0.25 ml/kg per h after contrast exposure), or if administration deviated from the Merten et al. protocol (the "deviated Merten et al. protocol group").
Patients who received NAC were similarly divided into two groups: those who were given NAC on two consecutive days (per the "Tepel et al. protocol group") (11) and those who were given NAC on one day only (the "deviated Tepel et al. protocol group") (11).
β-Blockers, diuretics, nonsteroidal antiinflammatory agents, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, and aspirin therapies were determined from search of the electronic medical records up to 7 d before contrast administration.
Study End Point and Statistical Analyses
At the time of study design, before data were collected, we planned the following analyses. Similar to previous studies (13,21,23), the primary end point was CN, defined as an increase in serum creatinine of
25% or a creatinine increase of >0.5 mg/dl within 7 d of contrast administration. Each case of contrast administration was stratified according to CN prophylaxis treatment groups, specifically those who received sodium bicarbonate alone, NAC alone, both sodium bicarbonate and NAC, and neither sodium bicarbonate nor NAC (i.e., no treatment). Odds ratios (OR) were calculated using the SAS GENMOD procedure (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC). Each treatment group was modeled individually with reference to the no-treatment group. Results of the analyses were summarized as OR with 95% confidence intervals (CI). All analyses were performed by SAS version 9.1.3 (SAS Institute Inc.).
In the subsequent analyses, unless otherwise stated, the words "all covariates" are based on known and hypothesized predictors of CN (1,4,24) and include total volume of hydration, β-blocker, diuretic, nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drug, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, angiotensin receptor blocker and aspirin therapies, age, gender, prior creatinine, contrast iodine load, prior exposure to contrast material, type of imaging study, heart failure, hypertension, renal failure, multiple myeloma, and diabetes mellitus.
Propensity scoring analysis performed as described previously (25,26) was done because patients who are given prophylaxis for CN may differ in important characteristics from those who do not receive prophylaxis even after adjustment for known and hypothesized predictors of CN.
| Results |
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After these exclusions, 11,516 cases of contrast exposure in 7977 patients had creatinine values available for review before and after contrast exposure. All cases using contrast prophylactic agents were identified before exclusion on the basis of available creatinine measurements. Of these, 616 of 662 administrations of NAC alone, 268 of 298 administrations of sodium bicarbonate alone, and 221 of 231 administrations of both sodium bicarbonate and NAC had pre- and postcontrast creatinine values available for analysis. Therefore, the case capture rates were 93% for NAC alone, 90% for sodium bicarbonate alone, and 96% for the concomitant administration of NAC and sodium bicarbonate. Sensitivity analysis vis-à-vis case capture rates was performed with adjustments for covariates and demonstrated no effect on the significance of the results. Neither sodium bicarbonate nor NAC (i.e., no treatment) were used in 10,411 episodes.
Table 1 shows baseline characteristics for all four treatment groups. On average the peak creatinine value was available 2.6 ± 2.0 d after contrast exposure with a median time of 2 d after contrast exposure (Figure 1).
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After adjustment for all covariates, sodium bicarbonate alone remained associated with an increase in CN of more than three-fold compared with no treatment (OR 3.10, 95% CI 2.28 to 4.18; P < 0.001). After adjustment for all covariates, NAC alone and in combination with sodium bicarbonate was not significantly associated with CN (Figure 3). Analysis using only one case per patient (the most recent case) revealed similar results.
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Subgroup Analyses
Elevated Pretreatment Creatinine Values and Reduced Glomerular Filtration Rate.
In the study by Merten et al. (13), only cases where the preexposure creatinine was
1.1 mg/ml were included. We assessed our data similarly. Among these 5073 cases (4328 received no treatment,160 were treated with both sodium bicarbonate and NAC, 441 were treated with NAC only, and 144 were treated with sodium bicarbonate only), after adjusting for all covariates there was a significant increase in CN associated with sodium bicarbonate alone (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.46 to 3.70; P < 0.001), but no significant association with NAC alone (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.49; P = 0.92) or in combination with sodium bicarbonate (OR 1.19, 95% CI 0.69 to 2.07; P = 0.52).
GFR was estimated using the four-variable Modification of Diet and Renal Disease (MDRD) equation (27–29). This equation uses race (black or not) as a variable. Race was available in 90%, 91%, 90%, and 91% of the no treatment, sodium bicarbonate and NAC, NAC alone, and sodium bicarbonate alone groups, respectively. Sensitivity analysis vis-à-vis race in the MDRD equation revealed no effect on the significance of the results. Estimated GFR ranges corresponding to stages of chronic kidney disease were based on previously published guidelines (29). The distribution of cases in each stage of chronic kidney disease is shown in Table 2.
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Manner of Administration of Sodium Bicarbonate and NAC. Sodium bicarbonate was administered according to the Merten et al. protocol (13) in 43 (16%) cases in which it was used. NAC was administered according to the Tepel protocol (11) on two consecutive days in 230 (36%) cases in which it was used. Table 3 shows the association of CN with the manner of administration of sodium bicarbonate and NAC. Regardless of how it was administered, sodium bicarbonate was associated with an increase in CN.
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0.5 mg/dl before contrast exposure were excluded (no treatment group = 8546 cases; sodium bicarbonate alone = 186 cases; NAC alone = 472 cases; sodium bicarbonate and NAC = 159 cases). In this subgroup, after adjustment for all covariates sodium bicarbonate alone remained associated with an increase in CN compared with no treatment (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.56 to 3.63; P < 0.001). NAC alone was also significantly associated with CN (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.23; P = 0.01). However, sodium bicarbonate used in conjunction with NAC was not significantly associated with CN compared with no treatment after adjustments (OR 1.63, 95% CI 0.91 to 2.75; P = 0.08)
Secondary Analysis: Propensity Scoring
Propensity scoring methods have been proposed to allow adjustment for undefined patient characteristics associated with the treatment groups that may bias the results (25,26). We examined our data using this methodology, but we found that the results were similar to our primary logistic regression model. Specifically compared with the no treatment group, OR for CN associated with each treatment group were as follows: sodium bicarbonate alone (OR 3.20, 95% CI 2.43 to 4.19; P < 0.001), NAC alone (OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.50; P = 0.13), and NAC in combination with sodium bicarbonate (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.48; P = 0.92).
| Discussion |
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Increased Risk of CN with Sodium Bicarbonate
Given the seemingly strong protective benefit of sodium bicarbonate in the study by Merten et al. (13), the increased incidence of CN in our study is surprising. The discrepancy from the Merten et al. study could be caused by the exclusion of multiple patients in the study by Merten et al., particularly the exclusion of 13% of patients in each study arm because of lack of follow-up tests or protocol violations after randomization and the exclusion of patients with known risk factors for CN (e.g., hypertension, emergency catheterizations, and recent previous contrast administrations). For the patients who weren't excluded from the study by Merten et al., cardiac catheterization procedures comprised >80% of the analyzed cases in the randomized portion (13). In addition, the study by Merten et al. showed a marginal statistical benefit in the bicarbonate group. Furthermore, the study by Merten et al. was a small trial that was terminated early after a small number of events, which, on the basis of a recent report, suggests that the results should be viewed with skepticism (30).
In our real-world population, many patients who received sodium bicarbonate had multiple comorbidities and often were imaged with computed tomography (83%). It is notable that the group of patients that received sodium bicarbonate in our study had a more favorable profile of baseline characteristics than the NAC group (Tables 1 and 2). Specifically, the patients in the sodium bicarbonate alone group were younger, had lower average creatinine levels and higher estimated glomerular filtration rates, were less likely to have diabetes or hypertension, had higher mean volumes of precontrast hydration, and fewer received angiotensin receptor blockers and diuretics compared with the NAC alone group. Despite these baseline characteristics, which would be expected to reduce the risk of CN, these patients were more likely to develop CN than those who received NAC. Furthermore, the magnitude and direction of this effect was consistent in all secondary and subgroup analyses.
The mechanism by which sodium bicarbonate might increase the incidence of CN is unknown. However, we can speculate that it may relate to the possible increase of reactive oxygen species (ROS). Bicarbonate in the presence of ROS enhances the generation of ROS such as peroxymonocarbonate (HCO4–), a very potent ROS, as described by Richardson et al. (34). We suggest that bicarbonate may increase the risk to develop CN by its prooxidant properties, particularly in states of ROS activation such as diabetes mellitus, and may have detrimental effects on renal blood flow in the presence of contrast agents. The proposed antioxidant properties of NAC may counteract the prooxidant effects of sodium bicarbonate and may explain why the use of sodium bicarbonate in conjunction with NAC was not associated with increases in CN.
Although the editorial that accompanied the original report of the efficacy of sodium bicarbonate for CN prophylaxis recommended its immediate adoption into clinical practice (14), we recommend that the data be verified in larger randomized controlled trials in multiple patient groups and practice settings before introduction into widespread clinical practice.
Reduced Risk of CN with NAC?
Consistent with previous studies that reported no benefit of NAC in preventing CN (17–19), the use of NAC alone or in combination with sodium bicarbonate was not associated with significant change in the incidence of CN compared with no prophylaxis in our a priori defined analysis. Our study is an examination of multiple patients in a real-world practice setting. It is possible that NAC may be beneficial in selected groups of patients or in higher doses (6). It should be noted that in cases where administration of NAC deviated from the Tepel et al. protocol there was a trend toward increased incidence of CN. In those cases where NAC was administered per the Tepel et al. protocol, there was a trend toward decreased incidence of CN (Table 3). However, neither trend was significant, nor can unaccounted confounding be ruled out in either case. Furthermore, as opposed to our sodium bicarbonate analysis, compared with other studies our numbers of cases where NAC was used was relatively small. Regardless of the possible confounding and small numbers, it may be wise for the clinician to pay special attention to the manner of administration of NAC given the potential risks suggested by our study.
Bicarbonate Used in Conjunction with NAC
Since the publication of the original study by Merten et al. (13), several other studies have assessed the use of sodium bicarbonate in conjunction with NAC. Results have been mixed between benefit (31,33) and no effect (32). Our results are similar to the latter study with regard to the neutral effect of sodium bicarbonate in conjunction with NAC as compared with NAC alone. However, of these subsequent studies, only our study analyzes the use of sodium bicarbonate alone, without NAC, for CN prophylaxis and raises concerns as noted above.
Limitations and Strengths
This is a retrospective cohort study. It is possible that the covariates in our study have not fully captured the degree of risk for these patients, which results in residual confounding. For example, the group that received sodium bicarbonate had fewer comorbid diseases compared with the NAC group. Furthermore, only 16% of patients who received sodium bicarbonate received it according to the Merten et al. protocol, which is a small group. Although the risk of CN was still elevated in this small group (OR 2.26; P = 0.03) the CI was wider (1.04 to 4.53) because of the small sample size. Finally, this is a single-center study. The study of the effect of sodium bicarbonate on CN should be repeated with other populations in multiple practice settings in retrospective and prospective study designs.
On the other hand, this study is the largest of its kind with >11,000 contrast administrations over an entire year in a real-world practice setting at a major medical center analyzed with adjustment for multiple covariates known to be associated with the development of CN. Furthermore, propensity scoring methods used to adjust for potential selection bias were consistent with our a priori defined logistic regression model, as were all other subgroup analyses. Additionally, the case capture rates for this cohort study were very high, further strengthening the inferences from these data.
The a priori defined analysis of these data yield conservative estimates of association. For example, the subgroup analysis of CN using creatinine values available within 48 h found an OR for CN in the sodium bicarbonate alone group even higher than that found using our a priori analysis (OR 6.78, 95% CI 4.98 to 9.18; P < 0.001 versus OR 3.10, 95% CI 2.78 to 4.18; P < 0.001, respectively). Because the case capture rates were so high, only three cases from the treatment groups (all in the NAC group) used in the a priori analysis were not available for the assessment of CN at 48 h. Thus, the lower OR in the a priori analysis reflects the increase number of cases of CN in the no-treatment group that are available for comparison when assessed over 7 d rather than 2 d. These results and the results of all the other subanalyses are consistent; i.e., sodium bicarbonate used alone without NAC was associated with increased risk of CN regardless of analysis or stratification.
| Conclusions |
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| Disclosures |
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Access to UpToDate on-line is available for additional clinical information at http://www.jasn.org/
Received July 29, 2007. Accepted October 20, 2007.
| References |
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