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Published ahead of print on September 24, 2009
Clin J Am Soc Nephrol 4: 1818-1826, 2009
© 2009 American Society of Nephrology
doi: 10.2215/CJN.00640109

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Epidemiology and Outcomes

Key Comorbid Conditions that Are Predictive of Survival among Hemodialysis Patients

Dana Miskulin*, Jennifer Bragg-Gresham{dagger}, Brenda W. Gillespie{ddagger}, Francesca Tentori{dagger}, Ronald L. Pisoni{dagger}, Hocine Tighiouart§, Andrew S. Levey*, and Friedrich K. Port{dagger}

* Division of Nephrology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts; {dagger} Arbor Research Collaborative for Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan; {ddagger} Department of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; and § Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts

Correspondence: Dr. Dana Miskulin, Tufts Medical Center, 800 Washington Street, Box 391, Boston, MA 02111. Phone: 617-636-9936; Fax: 617-636-8329; E-mail: dmiskulin{at}tuftsmedicalcenter.org

Background and objectives: Abstracting information about comorbid illnesses from the medical record can be time-consuming, particularly when a large number of conditions are under consideration. We sought to determine which conditions are most prognostic and whether comorbidity continues to contribute to a survival model once laboratory and clinical parameters have been accounted for.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements: Comorbidity data were abstracted from the medical records of Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Pattern Study (DOPPS) I, II, and III participants using a standardized questionnaire. Models that were composed of different combinations of comorbid conditions and case-mix factors were compared for explained variance (R2) and discrimination (c statistic).

Results: Seventeen comorbid conditions account for 96% of the total explained variance that would result if 45 comorbidities that were expected to be predictive of survival were added to a demographics-adjusted survival model. These conditions together had more discriminatory power (c statistic 0.67) than age alone (0.63) or serum albumin (0.60) and were equivalent to a combination of routine laboratory and clinical parameters (0.67). The strength of association of the individual comorbidities lessened when laboratory/clinical parameters were added, but all remained significant. The total R2 of a model adjusted for demographics and laboratory/clinical parameters increased from 0.13 to 0.17 upon addition of comorbidity.

Conclusions: A relatively small list of comorbid conditions provides equivalent discrimination and explained variance for survival as a more extensive characterization of comorbidity. Comorbidity adds to the survival model a modest amount of independent prognostic information that cannot be substituted by clinical/laboratory parameters.







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