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Epidemiology and Outcomes |



Departments of * Biostatistics & Epidemiology,
Clinical Development, and || Medical Affairs, Amgen Inc, Thousand Oaks, California;
Division of Nephrology & Hypertension, Department of Medicine, SUNY at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, New York; and
Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, Michigan
Correspondence: Dr. Ryan D. Kilpatrick, Department of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, Amgen Inc, One Amgen Center Drive, MS 24-2-A, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320. Phone: 805-313-4271; Fax: 805-447-1984; E-mail: rkilpatr{at}amgen.com
Background and objectives: Among hemodialysis patients, achieved hemoglobin is associated with Epoetin alfa dose and erythropoietin responsiveness. A prospective erythropoietin responsiveness measure was developed and its association with mortality evaluated.
Design, setting, participants, & measurements: Data from 321 participants were used and randomized to the hematocrit normalization arm of the Normal Hematocrit Cardiac Trial. Subjects were to receive a 50% Epoetin alfa dose increase at randomization. The prospective erythropoietin responsiveness measure was defined as the ratio of weekly hematocrit change (over the 3 wk after randomization) per Epoetin alfa dose increase (1000 IU/wk) corresponding to the mandated 50% dose increase at randomization. The distribution of responsiveness was divided into quartiles. Over a 1-yr follow-up, Cox proportional hazard modeling evaluated associations between this responsiveness measure and mortality.
Results: Erythropoietin responsiveness values ranged from –2.1% to 2.4% per week per 1000 IU. Although subjects were similar across response quartiles, mortality ranged between 14% and 34% among subjects in the highest and lowest response quartiles (P = 0.0004), respectively. After adjusting for baseline prognostic indicators, highest versus lowest responsiveness was associated with a hazard ratio of 0.41 (95% confidence interval, 0.20 to 0.87).
Conclusion: Lower erythropoietin responsiveness is a strong, independent predictor of mortality risk and should be considered when evaluating associations between clinical outcomes and potential prognostic indicators, such as Epoetin alfa dose and achieved hemoglobin values.
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